如何选择指标的周期

Radovan Vojtko, Matúš Padyšák
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要重点是展示一些可用于选择最佳工作期的原则,以评估各种指标。本文关注的是基于多元化etf的动量策略,但这些方法几乎适用于所有从业者必须为指标选择周期的策略。首先,可以选择一个更大的周期集来规避过拟合和样本外表现不佳的风险。其次,有可能根据对应于不同评估期的每个策略的表现做出决策。每一种方法都是基于3到15个月的动量策略来研究的,结果也与基准投资组合进行了比较。最后,这项研究表明,在量化策略的世界中,几乎固定的时期不一定是最好的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How to Choose the Period for Indicators
The main focus of this paper is to show some principles that can be used to pick well-working periods for the evaluation of various indicators. This paper is focused on a momentum strategy based on a diversified ETFs, but the approaches are applicable in almost every strategy where the practitioners have to pick the period for the indicator. Firstly, there is an option to pick a larger set of periods to evade the risk of overfitting and the underperformance out-of-sample. Secondly, there is a possibility to make a decision based on the performance of each strategy that corresponds to the different evaluating periods. Each approach is examined concerning the momentum strategies based on 3- to 15-month momentum and results are compared also with a benchmark portfolio. Lastly, this study shows that periods that are almost fixed in the world of quantitative strategies, do not necessarily have to be the best.
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