一种新的广义分数阶导数及控制措施秩在霍乱传播动力学中的应用

K. R. Cheneke, Koya Purnachandra Rao, G. K. Edessa
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本研究建立了霍乱流行的数学模型,并对其进行了分析,以显示霍乱弧菌对储备淡水的影响。此外,应用新的分数阶导数方法得到的结果表明,随着分数阶导数阶数的增加,霍乱预防行为也增加。同时,我们的研究结果表明,如果对饮用用储备淡水进行连续处理,可以控制霍乱弧菌的动态,使水中霍乱弧菌的内在生长速度小于霍乱弧菌的自然死亡速度。应用微分方程的稳定性理论,证明了当r0 1时无病平衡点是渐近稳定的。数值模拟结果表明,随着控制措施等级的增加,从无控制、弱控制和强控制,恢复个体分别为55.02、67.47和674.7。利用MATLAB软件包进行了数值模拟。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of a New Generalized Fractional Derivative and Rank of Control Measures on Cholera Transmission Dynamics
In this study, the mathematical model of the cholera epidemic is formulated and analyzed to show the impact of Vibrio cholerae in reserved freshwater. Moreover, the results obtained from applying the new fractional derivative method show that, as the order of the fractional derivative increases, cholera-preventing behaviors also increase. Also, the finding of our study shows that the dynamics of Vibrio cholerae can be controlled if continuous treatment is applied in reserved freshwater used for drinking purposes so that the intrinsic growth rate of Vibrio cholerae in water is less than the natural death of Vibrio cholerae. We have applied the stability theory of differential equations and proved that the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable if R 0 < 1 , and the intrinsic growth rate of the Vibrio cholerae bacterium population is less than its natural death rate. The center manifold theory is applied to show the existence of forward bifurcation at the point R 0 = 1 and the local stability of endemic equilibrium if R 0 > 1 . Furthermore, the performed numerical simulation results show that, as the rank of control measures applied increases from no control, weak control, and strong control measures, the recovered individuals are 55.02, 67.47, and 674.7, respectively. Numerical simulations are plotted using MATLAB software package.
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