{"title":"基于等待理赔时间的保险理赔频度-严重性相关性模型","authors":"Guangyuan Gao, Jiahong Li","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3829478","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose a dependent frequency-severity model using a Gaussian copula. The copula links a latent variable of waiting time for the second claim with the claim severity. By assuming a log-normal distributed claim severity, we can analyze the effect of claim counts on the conditional expectation of severity. We propose a Monte Carlo simulation algorithm to simulate the predictive distribution of the aggregated claims amount. In an empirical example, we compare the proposed method with the conditional modeling by Garrido et al. (2016) and the mixed copula modeling by Czado et al. (2012).","PeriodicalId":120143,"journal":{"name":"UNSW: Actuarial Studies (Topic)","volume":"178 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dependence Modelling of Frequency-Severity of Insurance Claims Using Waiting Time for Claim\",\"authors\":\"Guangyuan Gao, Jiahong Li\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3829478\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We propose a dependent frequency-severity model using a Gaussian copula. The copula links a latent variable of waiting time for the second claim with the claim severity. By assuming a log-normal distributed claim severity, we can analyze the effect of claim counts on the conditional expectation of severity. We propose a Monte Carlo simulation algorithm to simulate the predictive distribution of the aggregated claims amount. In an empirical example, we compare the proposed method with the conditional modeling by Garrido et al. (2016) and the mixed copula modeling by Czado et al. (2012).\",\"PeriodicalId\":120143,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"UNSW: Actuarial Studies (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"178 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-04-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"UNSW: Actuarial Studies (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3829478\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"UNSW: Actuarial Studies (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3829478","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Dependence Modelling of Frequency-Severity of Insurance Claims Using Waiting Time for Claim
We propose a dependent frequency-severity model using a Gaussian copula. The copula links a latent variable of waiting time for the second claim with the claim severity. By assuming a log-normal distributed claim severity, we can analyze the effect of claim counts on the conditional expectation of severity. We propose a Monte Carlo simulation algorithm to simulate the predictive distribution of the aggregated claims amount. In an empirical example, we compare the proposed method with the conditional modeling by Garrido et al. (2016) and the mixed copula modeling by Czado et al. (2012).