沙特加入全球和阿拉伯经济集团对其农业对外贸易的影响

Rehab Said Ibrahem, Eman Aish Al brahim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,世界在国际经济关系方面发生了许多变化,全球体系已形成旨在加强这些集团在全球国际贸易和经济稳定框架中的地位的主要经济集团。因此,本研究旨在研究1995-2019年期间沙特阿拉伯王国加入一些经济集团对沙特农业对外贸易的影响。依靠描述性和定量的统计分析。利用地理和商品集中度等出口竞争力指标,研究农产品进出口价值的演变以及影响农产品进出口价值的最重要因素。并运用联立方程法建立计量经济模型,对沙特农业对外贸易结构进行分析,并采用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)方法对其进行估计,对沙特农业对外贸易的未来进行预测。这项研究依靠的是二手数据。研究结果预计,到2026年,农业出口、进口和农业平衡赤字的人均份额将分别达到约600、3600和290万里亚尔。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Saudi's Membership in Global and Arab Economic Blocs on its Agricultural Foreign Trade
In recent years, the world has witnessed many changes in international economic relations, and the global system has crystallized into major economic blocs aimed at strengthening the position of these blocs in the framework of global international trade and economic stability. Accordingly, the research aims to study the impact of the accession of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to the membership of some economic blocs on Saudi agricultural foreign trade during the time period (1995-2019). By depend on both descriptive and quantitative statistical analysis. To study the evolution of the value of agricultural exports and imports and the most important factors affecting each of them, used of some indicators of export competitiveness such as a measure of geographical and commodity concentration. Also used the simultaneous equations method to build an econometric model to analyze the structure of agricultural foreign trade and its estimation by Two-Stage least squares (2SLS) method, the paper predicts the future of Saudi agricultural foreign trade. The research relied on secondary data. The results of the study expect that the average per capita share of agricultural exports, imports and agricultural Balance Deficit will reach about 600, 3.600 and 2.900 thousand riyals, respectively, during the year 2026.
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