道路挤塞及事故持续时间

Martin W. Adler, Jos N. van Ommeren, P. Rietveld
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引用次数: 33

摘要

非经常性的交通挤塞通常是由意外或其他事件引起的。我们通过荷兰高速公路上非经常性道路拥堵的变化来估计事故持续时间对驾驶员时间损失的因果影响。我们证明了事件持续时间对非经常性拥塞有很强的正影响,但是凹影响。非经常性拥塞的持续时间弹性约为0.35,这意味着每次事故减少一分钟的持续时间可产生57欧元的收益。我们还表明,在经常性拥堵水平较高的地方,非经常性拥堵水平要高得多。在非常拥挤的地方,每减少一分钟的事故持续时间,每次事故的收益约为1200欧元。因此,优先考虑减少拥堵地点的持续时间的公共政策更有益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Road Congestion and Incident Duration
Non-recurrent congestion is frequently caused by accidents and other incidents. We estimate the causal effect of incident duration on drivers' time losses through changes in non-recurrent road congestion on Dutch highways. We demonstrate that incident duration has a strong positive, but concave, effect on non-recurrent congestion. The duration elasticity of non-recurrent congestion is about 0.35 implying that a one minute duration reduction generates a €57 gain per incident. We also show that at locations with high levels of recurrent congestion, non-recurrent congestion levels are considerably higher. At very congested locations, the benefit of reducing the incident duration by one minute is about €1200 per incident. Public policies that prioritize duration reductions at congested locations are therefore more beneficial.
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