使用基于前馈神经网络算法的扩展、无气味和培养卡尔曼滤波器预测时间序列

B. Safarinejadian, M. Tajeddini, Abdolrahman Ramezani
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引用次数: 8

摘要

人工神经网络在高度非线性系统预测中的成功应用,使这一领域得到了广泛的研究。时变、动态特性以及内部噪声是非线性系统预测中经常遇到的问题。非线性滤波算法在实现过程中具有控制增益噪声和估计精度高的优点。本文探讨了将非线性滤波器与前馈神经网络相结合的时间序列预测算法的应用。本文根据神经网络的权值和输出,建立了非线性滤波器的空间状态方程和测量方法。换句话说,扩展的、无气味的和培养的卡尔曼滤波器用于训练前馈神经网络(FNN)。为了评估所提出的方法,这些技术已用于预测麦基-格拉斯时间序列。培养卡尔曼滤波的总体精度优于其他两种滤波。计算机模拟也证实了这一结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predict time series using extended, unscented, and cubature Kalman filters based on feed-forward neural network algorithm
Successful application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in prediction of nonlinear systems with a high degree has made extensive studies in this field. Time-varying, dynamic properties, as well as internal noise, are the problems that occur in prediction of nonlinear systems. The advantages of nonlinear filtering algorithms are controlling the addictive noise and high accurate estimation during the implementation process. This paper explores the use of time-series forecasting algorithms by combining nonlinear filters with feedforward neural networks. In this paper, space state equations and measurement of non-linear filters are written based on the weights and output of the ANNs. In other word, the extended, unscented, and cubature Kalman filters is used for training the feed-forward neural network (FNN). To evaluate the proposed method, these techniques have been used to forecast Mackey-Glass time series. The overall accuracy of cubature Kalman filter is better than the two others. The results are also confirmed by computer simulations.
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