流动性或信贷效应能解释BKBM-LIBOR差异的行为吗?

R. Poskitt, Bradley Waller
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2007年8月,BKBM-LIBOR息差由正转为负,并在2008年9月雷曼兄弟破产后大幅扩大,随后随着金融市场动荡的平息逐渐缩小。我们的结构回归模型和分解分析表明,流动性的变化在很大程度上解释了BKBM-LIBOR差异的变化,而信用风险因素只起了很小的作用。然而,我们的分析也表明,离岸市场的流动性也对交易对手信用风险的信息进行定价,这表明我们的初步结果可能低估了信用风险因素所起的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Liquidity or Credit Effects Explain the Behaviour of the BKBM-LIBOR Differential?
In August 2007 the BKBM-LIBOR differential switched from positive to negative and then widened considerably following the collapse of Lehman brothers in September 2008, before narrowing gradually as the turmoil financial markets subsided. Our structural regression model and decomposition analyses show that changes in liquidity largely explain the changes in the BKBM-LIBOR differential and that credit risk factors only played a minor role. However our analysis also shows that liquidity in the offshore market also prices information regarding counterparty credit risk, suggesting that our initial results could understate the role played by credit risk factors.
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