现代地缘政治的能源因素:一种认知方法的尝试

Sergey Valer'evich Starkin, Elena Sergeevna Pripisnova, Sergei Valer'evich Krivov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

能源资源正日益成为一种政治化的商品,同时又保留着特殊的技术和经济特征,这使外交政策领导的工作复杂化。作者采用认知方法进行外交政策分析,通过受试者评估世界能源格局时使用的不同认知结构棱镜,对能源与外交政策之间的关系进行了研究。在此概念基础上,作者探讨了能源与外交政策之间关系的演变:能源在多大程度上是外交政策的有用工具,反过来,能源政策的目标在多大程度上嵌入外交政策并影响能源安全领域。本研究的主要结果应考虑到作者的结论,即为了区分能源作为外交政策领域,区分短期和长期能源脆弱性是有用的。长期脆弱性的程度取决于是否有真正的替代方案,即使能源路线和来源多样化的能力。因此,能源安全是决定能源作为外交政策领域的主要因素,但不是唯一因素。能源可持续性问题正深入渗透到世界外交政策议程中,因为它与能源独立有关。因此,根据环境信念对政治、经济和社会结构的影响,能源可持续性可以影响能源需求、能源进口,从而影响能源独立。此外,讨论能源可持续性的重要性,首先需要关注安全问题,因为能源可持续性与内部资源消耗对能源独立水平的影响有关,而能源安全关注的是外部因素对确保充足能源供应的影响,从而对能源独立的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Energy Factor of Modern Geopolitics: an attempt at a cognitive Approach
Energy resources are becoming an increasingly politicized commodity, which at the same time retains special technical and economic characteristics, which complicates the work of the foreign policy leadership. Using a cognitive approach to foreign policy analysis, the authors conduct a study of the relationship between energy and foreign policy through the prism of different cognitive structures used by subjects to assess the landscape of the world energy. On this conceptual basis, the authors explore the evolution of the relationship between energy and foreign policy: how much energy is a useful tool of foreign policy, and, conversely, how deeply the goals of energy policy are embedded in foreign policy and affect the sphere of energy security. The main results of this study should be considered the conclusion of the authors that in order to distinguish energy as a foreign policy area, it is useful to distinguish between short-term and long-term energy vulnerability. The degree of long–term vulnerability is determined by the availability of real alternatives - the ability to diversify energy routes and sources. Thus, energy security is the dominant, but not the only factor determining energy as an area of foreign policy. The problem of energy sustainability is penetrating deeper into the world foreign policy agenda, since it is related to energy independence. Thus, depending on the influence of environmental beliefs on political, economic and social structures, energy sustainability can affect energy needs, energy imports, and hence energy independence. In addition, discussing the importance of energy sustainability, first of all it is necessary to focus on the problem of security, since energy sustainability is associated with the influence of internal resource consumption on the level of energy independence, and energy security focuses on the influence of external factors on ensuring sufficient energy supplies, and hence on energy independence.
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