就业的殖民遗产:一些前英语国家和法国殖民地的比较

Malika Neifar
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摘要

在本文中,作者评估了2000-2017年期间结构性政策、宏观经济指标和人口因素对就业弹性的影响是否可以区分前法属殖民地和英语国家。设计/方法/方法采用来自非洲和中东地区的44个国家的面板,在第一阶段通过滚动回归估计弹性。然后分别对静态和动态面板模型进行了研究。研究结果表明,前法国殖民地和英语国家之间存在巨大差异。对于法国殖民地来说,产品和劳动力市场灵活性对弹性有显著的正向影响,而对于英语国家来说,只有外国直接投资和政府规模对弹性有显著的正向影响。此外,所有改革和(或)经济措施都需要以旨在增加经济稳定的宏观经济政策作为补充。本研究的结果突出了一些因素,这些因素似乎推动了就业与两组前殖民地的一些结构性政策、宏观经济指标和人口因素之间的关系。本文根据这些结果为两组提供了政策结论。这一分析可能确实有助于为未来的政策讨论提供信息,但需要做更多的工作,以确定在2019年covid - 19危机后鼓励就业的宏观经济“最佳做法”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Colonial legacies on employment: comparisons between some former Anglophone and French colonies
PurposeIn this paper, the author assesses if the effect of structural policies, macroeconomic indicators and demographic factors on employment elasticities over the period 2000–2017 can distinguish the former French colonies from the Anglophone ones.Design/methodology/approachUsing a panel of 44 countries taken from Africa and Middle East Area, elasticities are estimated in the first stage by rolling regression. Then, both static and dynamic panel models are investigated.FindingsResults suggest big difference between the former French colonies and Anglophone ones. For the French colonies, product and labor market flexibility are found to have significant and positive impact on elasticities, while for Anglophone ones, only foreign direct investment and government size are found to have significant and positive impact. Besides, all reforms and/or economic measures need to be complemented by macroeconomic policies aimed to increase economic stability.Originality/valueThe results presented in this study highlight some of the factors that appear to drive the relationship between employment and some structural policies, macroeconomic indicators and demographic factors for two groups of former colonies. The paper provides policy conclusions based on these results for the two groups. This analysis may indeed help to inform future policy discussions, yet much additional work is needed to identify macroeconomic “best practices” for encouraging employment in the post-2019 covid crisis period.
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