基于改进特征选择的共享单车需求随机森林预测

Pengcheng Zhao, Xiaolei Zhang, Shibao Sun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在绿色出行的推动下,共享单车发展迅速,但由于规划不合理,城市道路空间被浪费。为了准确投放单车数量,本文结合天气、季节、温湿度等因素对共享单车需求进行预测。针对数据特征的复杂性和共线性,提出了一种改进特征选择的随机森林预测共享单车需求模型。首先,通过划分特征显著性和相关系数值来排除共线性特征。然后,对数据进行有效表征。从而减小了算法泛化误差的上界。最终的预测模型提高了预测精度。实验表明,改进特征选择的随机森林算法得到了优化,并在需求预测精度和适应度方面与其他回归算法进行了比较。这种方法是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Random Forest Prediction with Improved Feature Selection to Shared Bicycle Demand
Under the promotion of green travel, shared bicycles are developing rapidly, but urban road space is wasted due to unreasonable planning. In order to accurately place the number of bicycles, this paper predicts the demand for shared bicycles based on factors such as weather, seasonality and temperature and humidity. Faced with the complexity and collinearity of data features, a random forest prediction shared bicycle demand model with improved feature selection is proposed. First, features with collinearity are excluded by partitioning the feature saliency and correlation coefficient values. Then, the data is effectively characterized. Therefore, the upper bound of the generalization error of the algorithm is reduced. The final prediction model improves prediction accuracy. Experiments show that the random forest algorithm with improved feature selection is optimized, which is compared to other regression algorithms in terms of demand prediction accuracy and fitness. The method is effective.
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