灾难和冲突管理

A. Sinulingga, Abdul Halim, P. Nasir
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引用次数: 1

摘要

大多数将冲突与自然灾害联系起来的研究表明,自然灾害与冲突之间存在很强的相关性。自然灾害被认为是建立和平的催化剂,尽管它们不是影响冲突与和平的唯一决定性因素。一方面,灾害可以减少冲突升级,带来和平,但另一方面,它们往往会使原有条件下的冲突升级和加剧。这可以从印度尼西亚的亚齐和斯里兰卡的情况中看到,这两个地区都经历了国家内部冲突,灾后经历不同。本文试图提供一个概念框架来解释自然灾害后冲突升级和降级的条件。通过对各种文献的研究,本文发现影响灾区冲突倾向的变量至少有四个,即自然资源变量、贫困率、国家法规和谈判。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
DISASTER AND CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
The majority of studies which associates conflict and natural disasters reveals that there is a strong correlation between natural disasters and conflict. Natural disasters are believed to be a catalyst for peacemaking, although they are not the only determining factors that influence conflict and peace. On one hand, disasters can reduce conflict escalation and bringpeace, while on the other hand, they tend to escalate and exacerbate conflict conflicts from previous conditions. This can be seen in the case of Aceh in Indonesia and Sri Lanka, regions that are both experiencing intra-state conflicts, which have different experiences after the disaster. This article attempts to provide a conceptual framework to explain the conditions of conflict escalation and de-escalation after natural disasters. Through a study of various literatures, this paper discovered that there are at least four variables, namely natural resource variables, poverty rates, state regulations, and negotiations that affect conflict tendencies in disaster areas.
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