利用指数平滑法预测服务缺失电子报告

Ahmad Chusyairi, N. S. P. Ramadar, Bagio
{"title":"利用指数平滑法预测服务缺失电子报告","authors":"Ahmad Chusyairi, N. S. P. Ramadar, Bagio","doi":"10.1109/ICITISEE.2017.8285535","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"“One-Click Service Police Resort” is public service innovation that can give a solution especially missing service report (E-Report) for Banyuwangi Society. In this research examines the selection of an appropriate forecasting model in accordance with time series data available for predicting the missing reports in a period. The forecasting method uses Single, Double, and Triple Exponential Smoothing. Forecasting accuracy of detection is discussed using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Square Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The result shows that Single Exponential Smoothing is considered an appropriate method to forecast the missing reports of E-Report Police Resort because it produces the smallest value of MAD and MSE.","PeriodicalId":130873,"journal":{"name":"2017 2nd International conferences on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)","volume":"87 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"12","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The use of exponential smoothing method to predict missing service e-report\",\"authors\":\"Ahmad Chusyairi, N. S. P. Ramadar, Bagio\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICITISEE.2017.8285535\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"“One-Click Service Police Resort” is public service innovation that can give a solution especially missing service report (E-Report) for Banyuwangi Society. In this research examines the selection of an appropriate forecasting model in accordance with time series data available for predicting the missing reports in a period. The forecasting method uses Single, Double, and Triple Exponential Smoothing. Forecasting accuracy of detection is discussed using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Square Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The result shows that Single Exponential Smoothing is considered an appropriate method to forecast the missing reports of E-Report Police Resort because it produces the smallest value of MAD and MSE.\",\"PeriodicalId\":130873,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2017 2nd International conferences on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)\",\"volume\":\"87 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"12\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2017 2nd International conferences on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICITISEE.2017.8285535\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2017 2nd International conferences on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICITISEE.2017.8285535","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 12

摘要

“一键式服务警察度假村”是Banyuwangi社解决服务缺失(E-Report)的公共服务创新。在本研究中,研究了根据时间序列数据选择适当的预测模型,以预测一个时期内的缺失报告。预测方法使用单、双、三重指数平滑。利用平均绝对偏差(MAD)、均方误差(MSE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)对检测的预测精度进行了讨论。结果表明,单指数平滑法能产生最小的MAD值和最小的MSE值,是预测电子报警警区缺失报告的合适方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The use of exponential smoothing method to predict missing service e-report
“One-Click Service Police Resort” is public service innovation that can give a solution especially missing service report (E-Report) for Banyuwangi Society. In this research examines the selection of an appropriate forecasting model in accordance with time series data available for predicting the missing reports in a period. The forecasting method uses Single, Double, and Triple Exponential Smoothing. Forecasting accuracy of detection is discussed using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Square Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The result shows that Single Exponential Smoothing is considered an appropriate method to forecast the missing reports of E-Report Police Resort because it produces the smallest value of MAD and MSE.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信