欧洲天然气市场的情况如何?现货交易数据的经验证据

A. Neumann, Astrid Cullmann
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引用次数: 28

摘要

自上世纪90年代末首次放松管制措施以来,欧洲的天然气交易发生了重大变化。运输基础设施向第三方开放,运输与天然气价值链上的其他活动分离,再加上其他监管干预,导致了欧洲几个交易场所的发展。我们以不同地区的短期贸易为基础,研究了欧洲当前的市场运作程度。我们测试假设,如果天然气市场在欧洲表现出显著水平的整合使用卡尔曼滤波技术。我们的研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,十二个价格序列之间存在显著的整合水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What's the story with natural gas markets in Europe? Empirical evidence from spot trade data
Natural gas trading in Europe has changed significantly since first deregulatory measures were taken in the late 1990s. The opening of transport infrastructure to third parties and the separation of transport from other activities along the natural gas value chain have in combination with other regulatory interferences, led to the development of several trading places across Europe. We investigate the current degree of market functioning in Europe based on short term trade in different regions. We test the hypothesis if natural gas markets in Europe exhibit a significant level of integration using the Kalman filtering technique. Our results identify a significant level of integration between twelve price series with varying evolution over time.
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