1980-2019年尼日利亚金融中介与经济发展

Gospel Philip Nwauwa, S. Nzotta, N. Nwezeaku, C. Gloria, S. Ogoke
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摘要

:该研究调查了尼日利亚金融中介与经济发展之间的关系,为期39年,从1980年到2019年。分析使用了来自IMF全球金融发展指数和世界银行数据库的二次时间序列数据,并使用E-views 10.0计量经济学分析工具对收集的数据进行分析。进行增广Dickey-Fuller (ADF)单位根检验的结果表明,所有数据都是1(1)阶平稳的。同样,JohanasenCo对(PVR)和CUSUM检验的整合检验表明,在5%显著性水平下存在1个协整方程,最大特征值,从而表明研究变量之间存在短期和长期关系,而Granger因果检验的结果进一步建立了变量之间的双向因果关系。此外,OLS检验结果揭示了模型在做出明智决策方面的适应度。本研究利用全球金融发展指数IMF数据库的数据,包括金融发展指数(LFDI)、金融机构准入指数(LFIAI)、金融机构深度指数(LFIDI)、金融机构效率指数(LFIEI)和金融机构指数(LFII),以金融中介为自变量,以贫困率(PVR)为因变量,代理经济发展。该研究建议,金融机构框架中的关键参与者应该更多地关注政策和方案,这些政策和方案将加强更快速的行动,以推动银行金融获取和效率,从而推动快速的经济发展,作为减少甚至消除尼日利亚贫困率的重要工具之一。f统计量和r平方调整表明该模型在做出明智决策时是可靠的。对数线性模型LFIAI和LFIEI对经济LFDI的相关性均为且显著,且为正且不显著。这仅仅意味着,银行和金融中介将反过来减缓经济发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Intermediation and Economic Development in Nigeria from 1980-2019
: The study investigates the relationships between financial intermediation and economic development in Nigeria for a period of 39years ranging from 1980-2019. The analysis utilized a secondary time series data from IMF Global financial development index and World Bank database, while the E-views 10.0 econometric analytical tools were used for analysis of data collected. The results of Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test conducted uncovers that all the data were stationary at order 1(1). Again, JohanasenCo integration test for (PVR) and CUSUM test indicates 1 cointegrating equation with the maximum eigenvalue at 5% levels of significance, thus indicates the presence of short and long-run relationships among the variables used for the study, while the result of Granger Causality test further established a bidirectional causality relationship among the variables. Furthermore, the OLS test result reveals the fitness of the model in making informed decisions. The study utilized data from Global financial development index IMF database which includes financial development index (LFDI), financial institution access index (LFIAI), financial institution depth index (LFIDI), financial institution efficiency index (LFIEI), and financial institution index (LFII) to proxy financial intermediation as independent variables, while economic development is proxied with Poverty rate (PVR) as dependent variable. the study recommend that, the key players in the financial institutions frameworks should concentrate more with policies and progrmmes that will enhance more rapid actions to drive bank financial access and efficiency so as to propel rapid economic development, as one of the essential vehicles to reduce or even eliminate poverty rate in Nigeria. F-statistic and R-square adjusted that the model is reliable in making informed decisions. the relative of the log-linear model both LFIAI and LFIEI is and significant on Economic LFDI is and again and is positive and non-significant. signs of This simply means that in and financial intermediation will conversely reduce economic development.
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