基于模糊神经网络的混沌时间序列预测方法及其应用

Zhuo Chen, Chen Lu, Wen-jin Zhang, Xiaowei Du
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引用次数: 4

摘要

提出了一种基于混沌理论和模糊神经网络的混沌时间序列预测方法。首先,采用C-C算法估计混沌信号的延迟时间。采用G-P算法和最小二乘回归同时计算混沌信号的相关维数。考虑到模糊神经网络输入节点数难以确定的问题,采用混沌时间序列分析得到的最小嵌入维数来设计模糊神经网络。两个研究实例证明了该模型在混沌时间序列的实际预测中是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Chaotic Time Series Prediction Method Based on Fuzzy Neural Network and Its Application
An approach based on chaos theory and fuzzy neural network (FNN) is proposed for chaotic time series prediction. Firstly, C-C algorithm is applied to estimate the delay time of chaotic signal. Grassberger-Procaccia (G-P) algorithm and least squares regression are employed to calculate the correlation dimension of chaotic signal simultaneously. Considering the difficulty in determining the number of input nodes of FNN, minimum embedding dimension obtained from chaotic time series analysis is used to design FNN. It was proved from two study cases that the proposed model is efficient in the practical prediction of chaotic time series.
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