锚定,52周高点和收益公告后漂移

Thomas J. George, C. Hwang, Yuan Li
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引用次数: 41

摘要

财报公布后漂移(PEAD)的存在很大程度上取决于股价是否接近(远离)52周高点,此时正值(负面)盈利意外到来。我们发现这两种效应的巧合是产生显著的PEAD的原因。当前和未来收益公告的日回报率也遵循类似的模式——股价越接近52周高点(越远),如果出现极端的正(负)意外,公布的回报率就越低。此外,这些公司随后宣布的回报更高,与之前反应不足的修正一致。这表明,PEAD的一个重要贡献因素是投资者将他们对52周高点的基本价值的信念锚定,这抑制了收益消息对价格的反应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Anchoring, the 52-Week High and Post Earnings Announcement Drift
The existence of post earnings announcement drift (PEAD) depends strongly on whether stocks' prices are near (far from) their 52-week highs when positive (negative) earnings surprises arrive. We find that the coincidence of these two effects is what generates significant PEAD. Daily returns around current and future earnings announcements follow a similar pattern --- announcement returns are more muted for extreme positive (negative) surprises, the closer (farther) are prices to the 52-week high. In addition, subsequent announcement returns are greater for these firms, consistent with a correction of previous underreaction. This suggests that an important contributing factor to PEAD is investors anchoring their beliefs about fundamental value on the 52-week high, which restrains price reactions to earnings news.
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