经济调度的短期风电预测

Fatemeh Marzbani, A. Osman, Mohamed S. Hassan, T. Landolsi
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引用次数: 7

摘要

风力发电由于其间歇性的特性,需要对风力发电进行准确的预测。准确的风电预测可以帮助系统运营商将风电纳入经济调度和机组承诺问题。本文建立了一种简单的基于窗口的自适应参数回归模型,可用于系统运行的短期风电功率预测。为了评估预测风电功率的准确性,利用遗传算法将预测输出用于求解经济调度问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term wind power forecast for economic dispatch
Integration of wind power generation with existing power systems requires accurate forecasting of wind power due to its intermittent nature. Accurate wind power forecast can help system operators to include wind power in economic dispatch and unit commitment problems. In this paper, a simple window-based, adaptive-parameter regression model for short-term wind power forecasting that can be used in system operation is developed. In order to assess the accuracy of the forecasted wind power, the output of the prediction is used to solve the economic dispatch problem using a genetic algorithm (GA) technique.
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