风险与跨国公司:以自然灾害与公司现金持有为例

A. Ramirez, N. Altay
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引用次数: 14

摘要

•自然灾害是不确定性的主要原因。基于传统的国际商务和金融理论,我们重新审视了风险与国际化的关系。我们发现有证据表明多样化有助于降低风险。•我们将自然灾害作为风险因素引入主流国际金融,并得出了几个重要发现:公司在自然灾害后囤积现金。与国内同行不同,面对灾难时,跨国公司增加现金持有量的程度较低。随着时间的推移,灾害破坏的影响是持续的。最后,灾害损失与贫穷国家无关。•企业似乎对灾害有理性的反应:在保险消费高的国家,企业现金水平较低。在自然灾害风险较大的国家,企业持有更多现金,但在备灾计划良好和/或保险消费较高的国家,企业往往持有较少现金。•我们的研究结果对政策制定者和学者具有重要意义。灾后囤积现金,而企业层面的理性可能不利于经济复苏。我们的研究为政策制定者提供了控制气候变化的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk and the Multinational Corporation Revisited: The Case of Natural Disasters and Corporate Cash Holdings
•Natural disasters are major causes of uncertainty. Based on traditional international business and finance theories, we re-examine the relationship between risk and internationalization. We find evidence that diversification helps reduce risk. •We introduce natural disasters to mainstream international finance as a risk factor and show several important findings: firms hoard cash after a natural disaster. Unlike their domestic counterparts, MNCs increase their cash holdings to a lower degree when faced with a disaster. The effect of disaster damage is persistent over time. Finally, disaster damage is not relevant in poor countries. •Firms appear to have a rational reaction to disasters: corporate cash levels are lower in countries with high insurance consumption. Firms hold more cash in countries with greater exposure to natural disasters, but they tend to lower cash holdings in countries with good disaster preparedness programs and/or high insurance consumption. •Our results have important implications for policy makers and academics. Cash hoarding after a disaster, while rational at the firm level could be detrimental for economic recovery. Our study suggests tools for policy makers to control it.
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