通货紧缩与货币政策

Barry Eichengreen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

关于通货紧缩是经济增长和金融稳定的一个问题,几乎没有达成一致意见。经济学家可能会质疑这是一种暂时现象,或者货币政策能否在不带来更严重风险的情况下解决这一问题。历史经验一般都证明,这应该是央行的首要任务,而不是自己解决问题。一旦通货紧缩开始,货币政策可以使通胀回到正的目标水平。如果达不到这一点,银行需要做得更多。如果做得更多会威胁到金融稳定,那么宏观审慎工具是合适的。如果中央银行没有足够的政府债券可以购买,或者担心政府债券市场的流动性,那么就可以购买其他资产。如果担心购买其他资产,直升机撒钱是一个选择。如果削减目标是生产性的公共基础设施投资,它们不仅可以在不增加公共债务的情况下继续推进,而且实际上还可以减少公共债务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deflation and Monetary Policy
There is little agreement about deflation as a problem for economic growth and financial stability. Economists may question it as a transitory phenomenon or whether monetary policy can solve it without more serious risks. Historical experience generally confirms that it should be a central-bank priority and does not solve itself. Once deflation is under way, monetary policy can return inflation to positive target levels. If that is not achieved, banks need to do more. If doing more threatens financial stability, macroprudential tools are appropriate. If a central bank runs out of government securities to buy or worries about liquidity in the government bond market, there are other assets to buy. If it worries about purchasing other assets, a helicopter drop of money is an option. If that drop targets productive public infrastructure investments, they not only can proceed without increasing public debt but also can actually reduce it.
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