针对异质人群的定制保修政策

D. St. John, C. R. Cassady
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引用次数: 3

摘要

保修政策通常是在假设客户群体是均匀的情况下进行优化的——每个客户的故障间隔时间是从相同的概率分布中计算出来的。研究最佳保修期限的一种更现实的方法是考虑异质客户群体,其中客户可以分为不同的组,每个组遵循单独的故障分布。这种情况可以通过两种方式解决。首先,单个故障分布可用于为每个客户组找到最佳保修期限。其次,可以将这些群体的分布混合成一个单一的分布,用于优化整个群体的保修政策。在本研究中,我们的目标是分析实施定制保修政策的经济影响。我们首先计算每个客户组的故障分布,这些故障分布依赖于差异化的客户特征以及整个群体的故障分布。此外,我们开发了一个需求曲线,它是保修期的函数,以及一个利用需求、人口和故障属性来确定每个客户群体产生的总利润的利润函数。我们可以通过改变保修期限来最大化利润,从而为每个客户配置文件找到最优的保修政策。然后使用相同的利润优化来制定针对整体分销情况的保证政策。我们发现,在假设定制不会改变需求概况的情况下,实施定制保修政策增加了系统的盈利能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Customized warranty policies for heterogeneous populations
Warranty policies are typically optimized under the assumption that customer populations are homogeneous—each customer's time to failure is calculated from the same probability distribution. A more realistic approach to the study of optimal warranty duration leads to the consideration of heterogeneous customer populations, where customers can be divided into groups, with each group following a separate failure distribution. This situation can be addressed in two ways. First, the individual failure distributions can be used to find optimal warranty durations for each customer group. Second, the distributions of the groups can be mixed to form a single distribution, used to optimize a warranty policy for the entire population. In this study, our objective is to analyze the economic impact of implementing a customized warranty policy. We begin by calculating failure distributions for each customer group that are dependent on the differentiating customer characteristic as well as one for the entire population. In addition, we develop a demand curve that is a function of the warranty duration and a profit function that utilizes demand, population, and failure properties to determine the total profit generated by each customer group. We can maximize this profit by changing the duration of the warranty to find an optimal warranty policy for each of these customer profiles. The same profit optimization is then used to develop a warranty policy for the overall distribution situation. We find that the implementation of customized warranty policies increases the profitability of the system when operating under the assumption that customization does not change the demand profile.
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