大流行背景下的社会和劳动关系及人力资源管理转型

P. Simonin, A. Rudnitskaya, V. Yudaev, M. Makovetsky, Sofya Blagova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

社会和劳动关系的转变将使劳动关系主体的市场环境出现新的秩序,并创造一种合理的过渡模式,确保劳动关系参与者之间达成普遍协议。与人口状况、数字化、技能缺乏和不适应现代挑战、人工智能发展相关的社会和区域差距,决定了劳动关系制度结构的性质和创收动机。面对累积的冲击,工资的调整极其缓慢,而且不成比例。研究表明存在“不平等陷阱”和(或)“中等收入陷阱”,可以根据劳资关系体制结构的“内置稳定器”机制来消除这些陷阱。同时,利用组织人力资源的应用技术应以提高劳动生产率和国内生产总值为目标,以减轻由于组织向复杂的适应系统过渡而造成的外生决定因素所造成的冲击,这种系统可以分摊周期性失业的后果。分析表明,疫情期间俄罗斯人均实际收入与预测值存在显著差异,下降了17.2%。与此同时,按购买力平价计算的GDP与家庭收入之间存在直接关联。俄罗斯自疫情开始以来实施的社会支持和巩固就业和企业平衡的政策,将有助于在取消限制后更快地恢复,特别是在就业和制定针对行业的培训方案的基础上,有利于稳定人口领域已实现的平衡。与此同时,数字化的发展将有助于提高俄罗斯的人均GDP和整体人口收入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Transformation of Social and Labor Relations and Human Resource Management in the Context of the Pandemic
The transformation of social and labour relations will allow for a new order in the market environment of the subjects of labour relations and create a reasonable transition model that will ensure universal agreement between the participants of labour relations. The social and regional gap associated with the demographic situation, digitalization, lack of skills and non-compliance with modern challenges, the development of artificial intelligence, determine the nature of the institutional structure of labour relations and motives for income generation. In the face of cumulative shocks, wages are adjusted extremely slowly and disproportionately. The study showed the presence of "inequality traps" and/or "middle income traps", which can be leveled on the basis of the mechanism of "built-in stabilizer" of the institutional structure of labour relations. At the same time, the applied technologies for the use of human resources of the organization should be aimed at increasing labour productivity and GDP, which mitigate the shocks caused by exogenous determinants due to the transition of organizations to complex adaptive systems that amortize the consequences of cyclical unemployment. The analysis showed that the average per capita actual income during the epidemic in Russia had a significant discrepancy with the forecast values and fell by 17.2%. At the same time, there is a direct correlation between GDP at purchasing power parity and household income. A policy of social support and consolidation of the balance of jobs and firms carried out since the beginning of the pandemic in Russia, will allow to recover faster after lifting of restrictions, in particular, on the basis of employment and the development of industry responsive training programs, will favor the stabilization of the achieved balance in the demographic sphere. At the same time, the development of digitalization will contribute to an increase in GDP per capita and income of the population of Russia as a whole.
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