评估美国的大战略:对拜登总统任期内美国对东南亚外交政策格局的评估

Leonard C. Sebastian, S. Nugroho
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引用次数: 0

摘要

评估美国过去的大战略是衡量外交政策意图的有用指南,使我们能够获得重要的见解,以辨别美国各届政府外交政策的总体模式。这种做法对学术界和政策界都有好处,可以让我们了解拜登政府外交政策的优先事项,特别是在东南亚安全方面。考虑到这一目标,我们的文章采用了外交政策评估领域所采用的分析框架的一种变体,来研究美国大战略的可能选择。冒着过于简单化的风险,本文选择并评估了美国大战略备选方案的四个样本:孤立主义、离岸平衡、选择性接触和深度接触。接下来,我们将关注最近发生的事件,以评估哪种大战略模式最能描述拜登政府的外交政策立场。我们的目标是,这些见解将有助于地区行为体预测并对拜登政府的外交政策立场作出相应的反应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ASSESSING UNITED STATES GRAND STRATEGY: ESTIMATING THE PATTERN OF UNITED STATES FOREIGN POLICY ON SOUTHEAST ASIA UNDER THE BIDEN PRESIDENCY
Assessing United States (U.S.) past grand strategy is a useful guide to gauge foreign policy intentions enabling us to gain vital insights to discern the broad pattern of U.S. foreign policy under various administrations. Such an approach can be of benefit to the academic and policy community giving us a sense of the priorities of the foreign policy priorities of the Biden administration particularly with respect to the security of Southeast Asia. With this aim in mind, our article employs a variation of the analytical framework employed in the field of foreign policy evaluation to examine the possible options for U.S. Grand Strategy. At the risk of oversimplification, it selects and assesses four samples of U.S. Grand Strategy alternatives: isolationism, offshore balancing, selective engagement, and deep engagement. Next we focus on recent events to assess which pattern of Grand Strategy best describes the Biden administration�s foreign policy stance. Our aim is that these insights will help regional actors to anticipate and respond accordingly to the Biden administration�s foreign policy stance.
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