外国直接投资对尼泊尔经济增长的影响:约翰森协整分析

O. Poudel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究使用1995- 2020年期间的数据分析了外国直接投资对尼泊尔经济的影响。采用了描述性和分析性的研究设计。为了量化自变量对因变量的影响,数据取自尼泊尔拉斯特拉银行的二手来源,并采用财政部来测量变量。为了解释数据,使用E-views Statistical Package version 10对采集的数据进行分析。运用增广的Dickey- Fuller检验来检验变量的平稳状态。根据本研究,Johansen协整检验的结果支持了模型中协整的存在。VECM系数为正且不显著,表明没有证据表明存在长期关系。然而,GFCF与GDP之间存在短期因果关系。格兰杰因果检验表明,GFCF与GDP、GFCF与FDI之间存在双向因果关系,GDP与FDI之间存在单向因果关系。这一发现表明,整个模型在统计学上是显著的。此外,GDP与GFCF显著相关(p值=0.0334)。占GDP的78.53%,由GFCF解释,而FDI与GDP没有显着关联。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Nepal: A Johansen Co-integration Analysis
This research study analysed the impacts of FDI on Nepalese economy using data over the period of 1995- 2020. The descriptive and analytical research design has been used. To quantify the effects of independent variables on the dependent variable, data are taken from secondary sources of Nepal Rastra Bank and ministry of finance were employed to measure the variables. In order to interpret the data, the acquired data were analysed by using E-views Statistical Package version 10. Augmented Dickey- Fuller Test is run to test stationary condition in the variables. As per the study, result of Johansen Co-integration Test supported the existence of co-integration in the model. The coefficient of VECM was positive and insignificant expresses that there was no evidence of long run relationship. However, there was found short run causality between GFCF and GDP. Granger Causality Test indicated the two way causality between GFCF and GDP, GFCF with FDI and one way causality from GDP to FDI. The finding shows that the overall model was statistically significant. Furthermore, the GDP was significantly associated with GFCF (p-value=0.0334). 78.53 % of the GDP as explained by the GFCF whereas there was no significantly associated with GDP on FDI.
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