存款保险的覆盖水平:增加还是不增加

Juan Carlos Quintero-V
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了存款保险制度覆盖水平变化对福利的影响。这篇论文建立在先前文献的基础上,增加了对“大到不能倒”的银行进行救助的可能性,并纳入了存款支付与收回之间的时间差。银行也被允许调整存款利率,我把这对福利的影响包括在内。我展示了如何将这个扩展模型中的理论结果与可观察变量联系起来,并将其应用于哥伦比亚2017年覆盖率的增加。我从数据中估计了所有模型的参数,并计算了覆盖率增加对福利的影响。收益大于成本,尽管净效应规模不大,而且对某些参数很敏感。关键变量是规模、违约概率和覆盖水平变化对被保险存款金额的影响。救助的效果好坏参半,但总体上提高了提高覆盖水平的成本。包括支付和收回之间的时间滞后也是如此。允许银行调整存款利率也会因为更高的存款利率而导致更大的成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Coverage Levels in Deposit Insurance: to Increase or not to Increase
This paper studies the impact on welfare of changes in coverage levels within deposit insurance
schemes. The paper builds on previous literature by adding the possibility of bailouts for too-big-to-
fail banks and incorporating a time lag between deposit payout and recoveries. Banks are also
allowed to adjust deposit rates, and I include the effect this has on welfare. I show how to link
theoretical results in this expanded model to observable variables, and I apply it to Colombia’s
2017 increase in its coverage level. I estimate all the model’s parameters from data and calculate
the impact on welfare of this increase in coverage. Benefits outweigh costs, although the net effect
is modest in size and sensitive to some of the parameters. Key variables are size, the probability
of default and the impact the change in the coverage level has on the amount of insured deposits.
Bailouts have mixed effects but overall raise the costs of increasing coverage levels. So does including a time lag between payout and recoveries. Allowing banks to adjust deposit rates also leads to larger costs because of higher deposit rates.
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