超空间探索:复杂环境下系统设计的多准则定量权衡分析

Herbert Palm
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引用次数: 2

摘要

成功的工程需要与环境相适应的程序和架构方法。在处理复杂问题已成为工程标准的同时,掌握复杂环境中的不确定性仍然是一个重大问题。然而,全球趋势,如破坏性(非进化)技术变化或技术领域合并的速度增加,强化了由缺乏工程知识主导的复杂问题的重要性。本文提出了一种复杂环境下超空间探索(HSE)系统设计的新方法。HSE方法结合了基于统计学习研究的虚拟样机设计方法和虚拟实验设计方法。虚拟原型允许对系统行为进行早期反馈,并在实现之前进行概念验证。统计学习使系统架构师能够系统地构建潜在解决方案替代的空间,对复杂领域中设计和用例变量对目标指标的影响进行建模,对数量目标指标进行权衡,并最终确定帕累托最优系统解决方案。论文的第一部分描述了复杂环境下的工程挑战。第二部分介绍了HSE方法,包括两个主要组成部分:工作流程(A部分)和工具链(B部分)。第三部分概述了首次成功的HSE应用,这些应用已经证明了HSE的能力及其普遍性。最后第四部分展望了进一步的HSE应用,以及未来HSE方法的扩展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hyper Space Exploration A Multicriterial Quantitative Trade-Off Analysis for System Design in Complex Environment
Successful engineering requires environmentally adapted procedural and architectural approaches. While dealing with complicated issues has become an engineering standard, mastering uncertainties in complex environment is still a major issue. Global trends, such as an increasing rate of disruptive (non-evolutionary) technology changes or merging of technology fields, however, enforce the importance of complex problems dominated by a lack of engineering knowledge.This paper presents a novel approach of system design methodology in a complex environment called Hyper Space Exploration (HSE). The HSE approach combines methods of virtual prototyping with those of design of virtual experiments based studies for statistical learning. Virtual prototyping allows an early feedback on system behavior with a proof-of-concept prior implementation. Statistical learning enables system architects to systematically build up the space of potential solution alternatives, model the effects of design and use case variables on target indicators in complex territory, quantity target indicator trade-offs, and finally identify Pareto-optimal system solutions.The first part of the paper characterizes engineering challenges in complex environment. Section two presents the HSE methodology with its two major constituents work flow (part A) and tool chain (part B). Section three outlines first successful HSE applications that have already proved HSE capabilities and its universality. Final section four gives an outlook to further HSE applications as well as methodological future HSE extensions.
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