复杂性经济学中的政策与状态

Wolfram Elsner
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引用次数: 8

摘要

在过去的三十年里,复杂性经济学已经发展成为一个强大的实证、理论和计算研究项目,推动了更现实的经济学。它与长期存在的非正统学派汇合,其理论和实证发现与较早的非正统研究兴趣和预测是一致的。经济复杂性的特征是路径依赖、特质、一些自组织能力、结构涌现和经济拓扑和运动中的某些统计分布,因为复杂的经济系统在构建秩序和突然无序的阶段之间移动。在基于主体的系统中,主体的潜在“意向性”包括提高其表现、降低感知复杂性和产生社会制度。受2008年金融危机的推动。在美国,探索复杂性经济学的政策含义的热潮已经出现。本章将简要回顾有关经济复杂适应系统(CAS)的文献,并得出经济政策干预和国家根据社会经济复杂性采取行动的含义。从“合作进化”的角度来看,我们举例推导出一些更具体的政策取向,具体的“框架政策”或“互动政策”方法,嵌入在我们称之为“新功绩”的概念中。我们考虑了一些必要的结构和能力,这些结构和能力是一个现代有效的国家应该具备的,能够强大和持久,但学习和适应“复杂性政策”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Policy and State in Complexity Economics
Complexity economics has developed into a powerful empirical, theoretical, and computational research program in the last three decades, advancing more realistic economics. It converges with long-standing heterodox schools, and its theoretical and empirical findings are consistent with older heterodox research interests and predictions. Economic complexity is characterized by path-dependence, idiosyncrasies, some self-organization capacity, structural emergence, and certain statistical distributions in economic topologies and motions, as complex economic systems move between building order and phases of sudden disorder. In agent-based systems, underlying “intentionality” of agents includes improving their performance, reducing perceived complexity, and generating social institutions. Boosted by the financial crisis 2008ff., a surge to explore complexity-economics’ policy implications has emerged. This chapter will briefly review the literature on economic Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) and derive implications for economic-policy interventions and the state to act upon socio-economic complexity. From an “evolution-of-cooperation” perspective, we exemplarily derive some more specific policy orientations, specified “framework-policy” or “interactive-policy” approaches, embedded in a conception that we call “new meritorics”. We consider some required structures and capacities that a modern effective state, capable of a strong and persistent, but learning and adapting “complexity policy”, should have.
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