通货膨胀预期对国内实体经济企业金融政策的影响

E. Nesterenko, E. Karpova, E. V. Parada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考虑了对人口和实体经济企业的通货膨胀预期调查的主要结果,并对俄罗斯联邦到2024年的通货膨胀率变化进行了预测。可以证实,观察到的通货膨胀不仅是乌克兰特别行动的结果,因为其出现的先决条件是在2022年之前观察到的,而且在欧盟和美洲的程度甚至比在俄罗斯更大。作者还考虑了通货膨胀预期对国内公司金融政策的影响程度,这在很大程度上取决于俄罗斯经济结构转型背景下的地缘政治因素和制裁限制,以及所有经济实体和人口对新经济条件的适应程度。同时,作者注意到,在金融危机条件下,专注于国内市场的非资源型企业表现出最稳定的财务状况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of inflation expectations on the financial policy of domestic companies in the real sector of the economy
The article considers the main results of surveys of the population and enterprises of the real sector of the economy regarding their inflation expectations, and provides a forecast of changes in the inflation rate in the Russian Federation up to 2024. It is substantiated that the observed inflation was not only the result of the special operation in Ukraine, as the preconditions for its emergence were observed before 2022, and in the EU and the Americas to an even greater extent than in Russia. The authors also consider the degree of influence of inflation expectations on the financial policy of domestic companies, which are largely determined now by geopolitical factors and sanctions restrictions in the context of the structural transformation of the Russian economy, as well as the adaptation of all economic entities and the population to new economic conditions. At the same time, the authors note that non-resource enterprises focused on the domestic market demonstrate the most stable financial condition in the conditions of financial crises.
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