具有乐观和悲观代理人的人工股票市场中的股票价格

H. Kimura, F. Lima, L. J. Perera, R. B. Kerr
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在透过模拟模型,探讨人工股票市场中各主体之间的互动如何影响资产价格的动态。因此,本研究采用了一种不同的方法,通过探索代理人在人工股票市场中的行为模拟来分析价格。从异质性主体的定义特征出发,我们建立了一个人工股票市场,在这个市场中,个体通过需求和供给资产相互作用,推动股票价格达到均衡值。研究结果表明,在效用最大化主体对未来股利预期不同的假设下,资产价格可能反应不足。在亚反应中观察到的价格的逐渐变化与有效市场假说相矛盾,在有效市场假说中,所有的信息都是即时的
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Prices in an Artificial Stock Market with Optimistic and Pessimistic Agents
This research aims to investigate, through simulation models, how the interaction among agents in an artificial stock market can affect the dynamics of asset prices. Thus, the study follows a different methodology for the analysis of prices by exploring the simulation of agents’ behavior in an artificial stock market. From the defining characteristics of heterogeneous agents, we set up an artificial stock market in which individuals interact, by demanding and supplying assets, driving the price of a stock to an equilibrium value. The results suggest that, under the assumption of utility maximizers agents with different expectations about future dividends, asset prices may under-react. The gradual change of prices observed in the sub-reaction confronts the efficient market hypothesis, in which all information is instantly
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