Deep Knowledge Tracing and Engagement with MOOCs

MOOCs and online courses have notoriously high attrition [1]. One challenge is that it can be difficult to tell if students fail to complete because of disinterest or because of course difficulty. Utilizing a Deep Knowledge Tracing framework, we account for student engagement by including course interaction covariates. With these, we find that we can predict a student's next item response with over 88% accuracy. Using these predictions, targeted interventions can be offered to students and targeted improvements can be made to courses. In particular, this approach would allow for gating of content until a student has reasonable likelihood of succeeding.