2010 - 2017年政府支出对万丹经济增长的影响

Zaidan Najmuddin
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引用次数: 5

摘要

政府支出是推动一个地区经济增长的因素之一。2010年至2017年,万丹财政支出实现规模从11万亿元持续增长至36万亿元。然而,万丹的经济增长从2011年的7.03%下降到2017年的5.71%。本研究旨在确定政府支出对万丹经济增长的影响,并确定政府支出以资本支出的形式对万丹经济增长有积极影响。资本支出作为政府支出的一个组成部分,与政府的发展计划直接相关,预计将能够鼓励万丹的经济增长。本研究采用的方法是2010年万丹投入产出(I-O)表的影响分析和2010 - 2017年8个区市的面板数据回归分析。利用IO表的分析结果表明,政府支出对万腾经济增长具有正向影响。面板数据回归分析结果表明,各类型资本支出均有正向影响,但仅道路、灌溉、网络支出(BJIJ)有正向影响;和建筑(BGB),已被证明对万丹的经济增长有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Government Expenditure on Banten Economic Growth in 2010 – 2017
Government expenditure is one of the factors driving the economic growth of a region. During 2010 to 2017, realization of Banten government expenditure continued to increase from 11 trillion to 36 trillion. However, Banten's economic growth from 2011 to 2017 tended to slow down from 7.03 percent to 5.71 percent. This study aims to determine how the impact of government expenditure on Banten economic growth and identify government expenditure in the form of capital spending that has a positive effect on Banten economic growth. Capital spending as a component of government expenditure directly related to the government's development program is expected to be able to encourage economic growth in Banten. The method used in this study is the impact analysis of Banten Input-Output (I-O) Table 2010 and panel data regression analysis in eight districts/cities during 2010 to 2017. The results of analysis with IO Table show that government expenditure has a positive impact on Banten’s economic growth. Then the panel data regression analysis results show that all types of capital spending have a positive effect, but only spending for road, irrigation, network (BJIJ); and building (BGB) which have proven to have significant effects on Banten's economic growth.
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