俄罗斯央行转向货币政策宽松

A. Bozhechkova, P. Trunin
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摘要

在今年6月的会议上,俄罗斯央行董事会首次决定将基准利率下调0.25个百分点至7.5%。这一决定的动机是2019年4月至5月年度通货膨胀率暴跌至5.1%,加上通货膨胀风险减弱。2019年的通胀预测已被修订,目标从4.7-5.2%降至4.2-4.7%。俄罗斯央行预计,2020年的年通胀率将徘徊在4%左右,因此它计划在明年年中完成向中性货币政策的过渡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Bank of Russia Switches Over to Monetary Policy Easing
At its June meeting, for the first time this year, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 0.25 pp. to 7.5% per annum. Such a decision was motivated by the plunge of annual inflation in April-May 2019 to 5.1%, coupled with weakening inflation risks. The inflation forecast for 2019 has been revised, the target being reduced from 4.7–5.2% to 4.2–4.7%. The RF Central Bank expects that the annual inflation rate in 2020 will hover around 4%, and so it plans to roundup its transition to neutral monetary policy by the middle of the next year.
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