基于LSTM-NBEATS的短期负荷预测模型研究

Song Huang, Danhong Zhang, Tuo Zheng, Guangbo Tong, Jianxin Xu, Fangzheng Jia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于当前石油价格的上涨和能源的短缺,短期负荷预测在电力系统的基本运行和调度中起着至关重要的作用。单一模型的预测精度总是有其局限性的。为此,提出了LSTM-NBEATS模型,即通过MAPE (mean absolute percentage error)加权法将LSTM和NBEATS结合起来的组合模型。该模型易于实现和训练,不依赖于复杂的特征工程。它应用于三个欧洲国家的每小时负荷数据集,马其顿(MK),拉脱维亚(LV)和波兰(PL)。实验结果表明,该模型在短期负荷预测中是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Studies of short-term load forecasting model based on LSTM-NBEATS
Due to the current rising in oil prices and energy scarcity, the role of short term load forecasting is critical in basic functioning and scheduling of power systems. The forecasting accuracy of a single model always has its limitations. Therefore, the LSTM-NBEATS model, a combined model combining LSTM and NBEATS by a MAPE (mean absolute percentage error) weighting method is proposed. This model is easy to realize and train, and does not rely on complicated feature engineering. It is applied to hourly load datasets from three European countries, Macedonia (MK), Latvia (LV), and Poland (PL). In this paper, experimental results show that in short term load forecasting the model proposed performs effective.
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