影响尼日利亚小麦生产的社会和政治因素

S. A. Dambazau, J. Krishnankutty, T. Ajitha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

社会和政治因素被认为在某种程度上影响着农业经营,使其增长停滞或导致该系统的彻底崩溃。对影响尼日利亚小麦作物生产的社会和政治因素进行了一项研究,目的是探讨这些因素以寻求适当的解决办法。通过国家利益相关者焦点小组讨论收集原始数据,同时收集该国小麦产量、收获面积和进口量的时间序列数据。采用MAXQDA统计软件对焦点小组讨论报告进行分析,采用复合增长率分析对研究变量的增长率进行比较。结果表明,政治因素对尼日利亚小麦生产的影响程度大于其他因素。外部社会因素对该部门的影响程度小于政治因素,而大于内部社会因素。未采用推荐的农艺措施和农民的知识水平是主要的内部社会因素。而主要的外部社会因素是消费者的饮食习惯,消费者对便利的需求,低农产品价格和高投入成本。确定的政治因素包括社会安全问题、不一致的政府政策和执行的复杂性、出版媒体的作用、制粉工业的作用、国际贸易利益和缺乏政治意愿。结果还表明,总产量的总平均增长率为负,收获面积录得正增长,进口录得高百分比。尼日利亚要取得预期的结果,就需要作出重点承诺并采取多方面的办法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Social and Political Drivers Affecting Wheat Production in Nigeria
Social and political factors are believed to be affecting agricultural operations in a way that stagnates their growth or leads to the total collapse of the system. A study on social and political factors affecting wheat crop production in Nigeria was conducted with the aim of exploring those factors for proper solutions. Primary data was collected through national stakeholders’ focus group discussion while time series data of the country's wheat production, harvested area, and imports was collected. MAXQDA statistical software was used to analyze the focus group discussion report, while compound growth rate analysis was used to compare the growth rate of the variables under study. The results indicated the extent to which political factors affect wheat production in Nigeria more than others. The degree to which external social factors affect the sector was less when compared with political factors and more than internal social factors. Non-adoption of recommended agronomic practices and the knowledge level of the farmers were the major internal social factors. While the major external social factors were consumer food habits, consumer demand for convenience, low produce prices, and high input costs. Political factors identified were social security issues, inconsistent government policies, and intricacies in implementation, the role of the publication media, role playing by the milling industries, international trade interests, and lack of political will. The result also indicated that the total average growth rate of production was negative, and positive growth was recorded in the harvested area, with a high percentage recorded in imports. For Nigeria to achieve the desired outcome, focused commitments and the adoption of a multi-dimensional approach are required.
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