埃塞俄比亚阿姆哈拉地区北绍阿选定气象站的强度-时频曲线分析

Eyoel Yigletu Aybehon
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在水利水利工程控制结构的设计中,需要对降雨强度进行估算。利用4个站点11 ~ 23年的降水资料,生成了研究区选定站点的强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)曲线和参数。然后对获得的日降雨量数据集进行频率分析,以确定最能表征该数据集的分布。结果表明,Log Person Type III是最适合的概率分布函数。计算了不同降水持续时间和回归期的年极值降水深度。将每个回归期的降雨深度排序转换为降雨强度。计算了不同降雨持续时间和回归期的相应降雨强度。利用MIDUSS 2.25软件绘制回归周期为2、5、10、25、50和100年以及持续时间为1、2、3、6、12和24 h的IDF曲线,并确定IDF参数。结果表明,短时间(1 h和2 h)的IDF曲线在相同的返回周期内强度较高,而长时间(3 h、6 h、12 h和24 h)的IDF曲线在相同的返回周期内强度较低。所建立的IDF关系可作为该地区水工结构设计的有价值的工具。本研究可以作为其他研究的跳板,将峰值流量的计算和水工结构的设计作为输入,以帮助提高该地区的抗洪能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Intensity duration frequency curve analysis for selected meteorological stations in North Shoa, Amhara Region, Ethiopia
The estimation of rainfall intensity is required for the design of hydraulic and water resources engineering control structures. Rainfall data of 11 – 23 years long from four stations was used to generate Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves and parameters for selected stations in the study area. The daily rainfall data set obtained was then subjected to frequency analysis to determine the distribution which best characterizes the data set. The result showed that Log Person Type III was the best fit probability distribution function. The annual extreme values of rainfall depth were computed for different rainfall durations and return periods. Ranked rainfall depths for each return period were converted to rainfall intensities. The corresponding rainfall intensities were computed for different rainfall durations and return periods. IDF curves were developed using MIDUSS 2.25 software for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years and for durations of 1, 2, 3, 6, 12, and 24 h, and determined IDF parameters. The results shown that for shorter durations (1 hour and 2 hours), the IDF curves gave higher intensities for the same return period while for longer durations (3 h, 6 h, 12 h and 24 h), they gave low intensities for the same return period. The IDF relationship developed can be used as valuable tool for the designing of hydraulic structures in the region. This study could serve as a spring board for other studies that imply the calculation of a peak flow and designing of hydraulic structures as an input to help improve flood resilience in the region.
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