{"title":"基于LSTM和XGBoost组合模型的电力负荷预测","authors":"Chen Li, Zhenyu Chen, Jinbo Liu, Dapeng Li, Xingyu Gao, Fangchun Di, Lixin Li, Xiaohui Ji","doi":"10.1145/3357777.3357792","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Accurate power load forecasting can provide effective and reliable guidance for power construction and grid operation, and plays a very important role in the power grid system. In order to improve the accuracy of power load forecasting, this paper proposes a combined forecast model based on LSTM and XGBoost. The LSTM forecast model and the XGBoost forecast model are firstly established and the power load is predicted by using the two models respectively. Then the combined model predicts the power load by using the error reciprocal method to combine the results from the two single models. Through the experimental verification of the power load data of The Electrician Mathematical Contest in Modeling, the forecast error of the combined model we got is 0.57%, which is significantly lower than the single forecast model.","PeriodicalId":127005,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 2019 the International Conference on Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"22","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Power Load Forecasting Based on the Combined Model of LSTM and XGBoost\",\"authors\":\"Chen Li, Zhenyu Chen, Jinbo Liu, Dapeng Li, Xingyu Gao, Fangchun Di, Lixin Li, Xiaohui Ji\",\"doi\":\"10.1145/3357777.3357792\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Accurate power load forecasting can provide effective and reliable guidance for power construction and grid operation, and plays a very important role in the power grid system. In order to improve the accuracy of power load forecasting, this paper proposes a combined forecast model based on LSTM and XGBoost. The LSTM forecast model and the XGBoost forecast model are firstly established and the power load is predicted by using the two models respectively. Then the combined model predicts the power load by using the error reciprocal method to combine the results from the two single models. Through the experimental verification of the power load data of The Electrician Mathematical Contest in Modeling, the forecast error of the combined model we got is 0.57%, which is significantly lower than the single forecast model.\",\"PeriodicalId\":127005,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 2019 the International Conference on Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence\",\"volume\":\"39 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-08-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"22\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 2019 the International Conference on Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1145/3357777.3357792\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 2019 the International Conference on Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3357777.3357792","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Power Load Forecasting Based on the Combined Model of LSTM and XGBoost
Accurate power load forecasting can provide effective and reliable guidance for power construction and grid operation, and plays a very important role in the power grid system. In order to improve the accuracy of power load forecasting, this paper proposes a combined forecast model based on LSTM and XGBoost. The LSTM forecast model and the XGBoost forecast model are firstly established and the power load is predicted by using the two models respectively. Then the combined model predicts the power load by using the error reciprocal method to combine the results from the two single models. Through the experimental verification of the power load data of The Electrician Mathematical Contest in Modeling, the forecast error of the combined model we got is 0.57%, which is significantly lower than the single forecast model.