The Venture Capital Premium: A New Approach

We introduce a novel method to estimate the risk premium that investors should demand on top of public equity’s return to be properly compensated for the peculiar hazards of investing in venture capital. Unlike existing CAPM-based methods, our benchmarks are based upon direct measures of the factors that affect the value of venture capital portfolios—i.e., illiquidity, hazard of failure and control; being, at the same time, clear of the confounding effects of superior fund management. Our method is an empirically grounded alternative to the rules of thumb employed by institutional investors and fund managers when defining target returns on venture capital.