结合增长和水平数据:1880年至1970年比利时各市人口的估计

S. Ronsse, Samuel Standaert
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引用次数: 4

摘要

研究19世纪和20世纪长期变化的经济史学家从根本上受到定性数据可用性的限制。因此,研究人员被迫要么输入缺失的数据,要么以某种方式组合数据集。在本文中,我们将展示状态空间模型在解决这些问题方面的多功能性。它们不仅使我们能够组成高质量的大数据系列,而且还提供了对该数据可靠性的清晰估计,允许任何后续分析将该可靠性考虑在内。我们以比利时城市的人口为例,说明了状态空间模型的优势。通过结合增长和水平数据,我们可以计算出从1880年到1970年2600多个城市的年度人口统计数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Combining growth and level data: An estimation of the population of Belgian municipalities between 1880 and 1970
ABSTRACT Economic historians that study long-term changes during the nineteenth and twentieth century are fundamentally restricted by the availability of qualitative data. As a result, researchers are forced to either impute missing data, or otherwise combine datasets in some way. In this article, we demonstrate the versatility of state-space models in addressing these problems. Not only do they enable us to compose large data series of high quality, they also provide a clear estimate of how reliable this data is, allowing any subsequent analyses to take this reliability into account. We illustrate the advantages of a state-space model using the population of Belgian municipalities as a case study. By combining growth and level data, we are able to compute yearly population statistics of over 2600 municipalities from 1880 to 1970.
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