基于鲁棒直方图的时间序列数据特征工程

Eftim Zdravevski, Petre Lameski, Riste Mingov, A. Kulakov, D. Gjorgjevikj
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引用次数: 28

摘要

现在定期收集数据是很普遍的。被收集和分析的最广泛使用的数据类型是财务数据和传感器读数。许多企业已经认识到,财务时间序列分析是一种强大的分析工具,可以带来竞争优势。同样,传感器网络生成时间序列,如果对它们进行适当的分析,可以更好地理解被监控的过程。本文提出了一种新的基于通用直方图的时间序列数据特征工程方法。预处理阶段包括几个步骤:对时间序列数据进行分析,用一阶导数对变化速度进行建模,最后计算直方图。通过完成所有这些步骤,目标有三个方面:实现对不同因素的不变性,对数据进行良好的建模,并进行显著的特征缩减。该方法应用于2015年AAIA数据挖掘竞赛,该竞赛涉及通过分析身体传感器网络读数来识别消防员的活动。通过这样做,我们能够以大约83%的预测准确率获得第三名,比获胜的解决方案低约1%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Robust histogram-based feature engineering of time series data
Collecting data at regular time nowadays is ubiquitous. The most widely used type of data that is being collected and analyzed is financial data and sensor readings. Various businesses have realized that financial time series analysis is a powerful analytical tool that can lead to competitive advantages. Likewise, sensor networks generate time series and if they are properly analyzed can give a better understanding of the processes that are being monitored. In this paper we propose a novel generic histogram-based method for feature engineering of time series data. The preprocessing phase consists of several steps: deseansonalyzing the time series data, modeling the speed of change with first derivatives, and finally calculating histograms. By doing all of those steps the goal is three-fold: achieve invariance to different factors, good modeling of the data and preform significant feature reduction. This method was applied to the AAIA Data Mining Competition 2015, which was concerned with recognition of activities carried out by firefighters by analyzing body sensor network readings. By doing that we were able to score the third place with predictive accuracy of about 83%, which was about 1% worse than the winning solution.
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