货币数量理论的8.5方程式版本

Tobias F. Rötheli
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摘要

本文从扩张性货币政策的角度探讨近年来的低通货膨胀率。在基本宏观经济关系的基础上,我们提出了货币数量理论的现代版本。在低通货膨胀率下,扩张性货币政策可能导致货币存量的增加,而价格却没有相应的上涨。当货币需求非常有弹性时——流动性陷阱效应——实际货币余额可以增加100%或更多。这一现象的关键在于,将政策利率固定在非常低的水平并不会导致通胀加速。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The 8½ Equations Version of the Quantity Theory of Money
This article addresses the low inflation rates of recent years in the light of expansionary monetary policy. Building on essential macroeconomic relationships we present a modern version of the quantity theory of money. At low rates of inflation, an expansionary monetary policy can induce an increase in the money stock not matched by a corresponding increase in prices. When money demand is very elastic – a liquidity trap effect – real money balances can increase by 100 percent or more. The key to this phenomenon is the insight that a peg of the policy interest rate at a very low level does not lead to accelerating inflation.
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