违约后会发生什么?获得信贷的程式化事实

Diana Bonfim, Daniel A. Dias, C. Richmond
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了企业拖欠银行贷款后会发生什么。我们通过建立一套关于违约演变及其解决方案的程式化事实来解决这个问题,重点关注违约后的信贷获取。使用来自葡萄牙的独特数据集,我们观察到一半的违约事件持续5个季度或更短,而大公司的违约期更短。大多数公司在违约后仍能立即获得信贷,尽管只有少数公司能获得新的贷款。如果企业规模小,违约时间长且严重,只从一家银行借款,或者与主要贷款人违约,那么它们重新获得信贷的难度就更大。此外,半数违约公司未来还会再次违约。我们观察到,重复违约的公司平均规模较小,违约时间更长,违约情况更严重。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What Happens after Default? Stylized Facts on Access to Credit
In this paper we investigate what happens to firms after they default on their bank loans. We approach this question by establishing a set of stylized facts concerning the evolution of default and its resolution, focusing on access to credit after default. Using a unique dataset from Portugal, we observe that half of the default episodes last 5 quarters or less and that larger firms have shorter default periods. Most firms continue to have access to credit immediately after default, though only a minority has access to new loans. Firms have more difficulties in regaining access to credit if they are small, if their default was long and severe, if they borrow from only one bank or if they default with their main lender. Further, half of the defaulting firms record another default in the future. We observe that firms with repeated defaults are, on average, smaller and have experienced longer and more severe defaults.
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