风力发电机的优化配置和多样化:一种提高风力发电渗透率的混合方法

Leo Klie, R. Madlener
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引用次数: 19

摘要

文献表明,风电的市场价值随着市场渗透率的提高而下降。缓解这种市场价值下降的两项有希望的措施是系统友好型涡轮机和地理多样化。本研究分析了在德国同时提高市场价值、降低系统成本和总体补贴需求的混合方法的综合潜力。因此,确定了有希望的多样化区域和现场最佳涡轮配置。相应的市场价值和电力平准化成本预测渗透率高达65%(2030年)。分析表明,在使用系统友好型涡轮机的不同地区,市场价值下降的程度较轻。此外,混合方法还可以节省系统成本和补贴。另外的分析表明,混合方法的主要好处可以归功于系统友好型涡轮机的使用,而对德国来说,多样化似乎不是一个有希望的选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal Configuration and Diversification of Wind Turbines: A Hybrid Approach to Improve the Penetration of Wind Power
Literature indicates a decline in the market value of wind power with increasing market penetration. Two promising measures to mitigate this market value drop are system-friendly turbines and geographical diversification. This study analyzes the combined potential of a hybrid approach used to simultaneously improve market values, reduce system costs and the overall subsidy needs in Germany. Therefore, promising diversification regions and site optimal turbine configurations are identified. The corresponding market values and levelized cost of electricity are forecasted for penetration rates of up to 65% (2030). The analysis shows that the market value drop in diversified regions using system-friendly turbines is less severe. Furthermore, the hybrid approach results in system cost and subsidy savings. Additional analyses show that the dominant share of the hybrid approach benefits can be attributed to the use of system-friendly turbines and that diversification does not seem to be a promising alternative for Germany.
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