洋葱价格在苏拉威西南部的制造商和消费者水平传递

Sri Hardianti Rosadi, Fitry Purnamasari
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Model yang digunakan untuk menganalisis transmisi harga bawang merah yaitu Asymmetric Error Correction Model (AECM), Uji Stationeritas, Uji Penentuan Lag Optimum, Uji Kestabilan Estimasi VAR, Uji Kausalitas Granger dan Uji Kointegrasi. Hasil penelitian transmisi harga bawang merah ditingkat produsen dan tingkat konsumen (Kota Makassar) dan konsumen (pedesaan) menunjukkan bahwa terdapat hubungan simetri dalam jangka pendek yang ditunjukkan oleh respon perubahan harga yang langsung ditransmisikan ke tingkat produsen dan terdapat hubungan jangka panjang antara produsen dan konsumen bawang merah di Sulawesi Selatan. \nOnion are a sub-sector of agriculture that plays an important role in economic growth. The price of onions shows a trend of price development that fluctuates every month. The average price at the producer level tends to be stable when compared to the average price at the consumer level. So the transmission of prices at the consumer level needs to be transmitted directly to the producer level. The purpose of this study was to determine the transmission of onion prices at the producer and consumer levels in South Sulawesi using Monthly Time Series data on Shallot Prices from January 2018 to December 2020, which included Price data at the Farmer (Producer) level and Prices at the Consumer (Rural) level and Consumer Price Data (Makassar City). The models used to analyze onion price transmission are the Asymmetric Error Correction Model (AECM), Stationerity Test, Optimum Lag Determination Test, VAR Estimation Stability Test, Granger Causality Test and Cointegration Test. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

洋葱是农业的一个重要部门,在经济增长中扮演着重要的角色。洋葱的价格反映了价格波动的趋势。与消费者水平相比,生产者的平均价格往往稳定。需要直接将消费者价格传递到生产者水平。该研究的目的是利用从2018年1月到2020年12月的洋葱时间系列数据,了解洋葱在南苏拉威西的制造商和kosumen价格传递情况,其中包括农民价格数据、消费者价格价格(农村)和消费者价格数据(Makassar市)。用于分析洋葱价格传递的异步微分模型(AECM)、静止测试、最佳滞后测试、VAR估计稳定性测试、格兰杰因果关系测试和集成测试等模型的模型。研究结果传输洋葱价格水平的生产者和消费者级(马卡萨市)和消费者(农村)表明,有对称关系在短期内由价格的变化反应的直接传送到生产者和生产者和消费者之间有长期关系在南苏拉威西洋葱。洋葱是一种在经济增长中扮演重要角色的次级农业。洋葱的价格显示了每个月价格发展的趋势。生产级别的平均价格在消费者水平上相对稳定。因此,消费者水平的交换需要直接向生产者传递。这个研究的目的是为了个重大洋葱实惠之传输at用月刊《南苏拉威西的生产者和消费者水平上的时间系列数据Shallot实惠价格2020从2018年1月到12月,哪种included级数据at The Farmer(制片人)和实惠的消费者数据(农村)水平和消费者价格(Makassar城)。结果是分析洋葱价格移位模型,站性测试,最佳滞后确定测试,VAR估算稳定器测试,Granger Causality Test。at The results of The study on洋葱价格传输级《级生产者与消费者(Makassar城)和消费者(农村)那里顺便说一下那个有短期symmetry关系indicated反应到价格改变那是直接transmitted级制片人》#之间的关系给索马里洋葱制片人和南苏拉威西consumers in。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Transmisi Harga Bawang Merah Ditingkat Produsen dan Konsumen di Sulawesi Selatan
Bawang merah merupakan sub sektor pertanian yang memegang peranan penting dalam pertumbuhan ekonomi. Harga bawang merah menunjukkan tren perkembangan harga yang berfluktuatif setiap bulannya. Harga rata-rata ditingkat produsen cenderung stabil jika dibandingkan dengan harga rata-rata ditingkat konsumen. Transmisi harga ditingkat konsumen perlu ditransmisikan langsung ke tingkat produsen. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui transmisi harga bawang merah ditingkat produsen dan kosumen di Sulawesi Selatan dengan menggunakan data time series bulanan harga bawang merah dari Januari 2018 sampai Desember 2020, yang meliputi data harga ditingkat petani (produsen) dan harga ditingkat konsumen (pedesaan) dan data harga konsumen (Kota Makassar). Model yang digunakan untuk menganalisis transmisi harga bawang merah yaitu Asymmetric Error Correction Model (AECM), Uji Stationeritas, Uji Penentuan Lag Optimum, Uji Kestabilan Estimasi VAR, Uji Kausalitas Granger dan Uji Kointegrasi. Hasil penelitian transmisi harga bawang merah ditingkat produsen dan tingkat konsumen (Kota Makassar) dan konsumen (pedesaan) menunjukkan bahwa terdapat hubungan simetri dalam jangka pendek yang ditunjukkan oleh respon perubahan harga yang langsung ditransmisikan ke tingkat produsen dan terdapat hubungan jangka panjang antara produsen dan konsumen bawang merah di Sulawesi Selatan. Onion are a sub-sector of agriculture that plays an important role in economic growth. The price of onions shows a trend of price development that fluctuates every month. The average price at the producer level tends to be stable when compared to the average price at the consumer level. So the transmission of prices at the consumer level needs to be transmitted directly to the producer level. The purpose of this study was to determine the transmission of onion prices at the producer and consumer levels in South Sulawesi using Monthly Time Series data on Shallot Prices from January 2018 to December 2020, which included Price data at the Farmer (Producer) level and Prices at the Consumer (Rural) level and Consumer Price Data (Makassar City). The models used to analyze onion price transmission are the Asymmetric Error Correction Model (AECM), Stationerity Test, Optimum Lag Determination Test, VAR Estimation Stability Test, Granger Causality Test and Cointegration Test. The results of the study on onion price transmission at the producer level and the consumer level (Makassar City) and Consumer (Rural) showed that there is a short-term symmetry relationship indicated by the response to price changes that are directly transmitted to the producer level and there is long-term relationship between onion producers and consumers in South Sulawesi.
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