动态马尔可夫状态切换非对称GARCH模型及其累积脉冲响应函数

G. Sema, M. Konté, A. Diongue
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们考虑马尔可夫状态切换GJR-GARCH(1,1)模型来捕捉平稳和爆炸状态下金融市场波动的累积脉冲响应和动态行为的不对称性。该模型可以捕捉两种制度之间波动率的制度变化,以及对消极和积极冲击的不对称反应。通过蒙特卡罗仿真验证了主要理论,发现状态切换GJR-GARCH模型的性能优于标准GJR-GARCH模型。对巴西股市数据的应用表明,该模型在累积脉冲响应方面表现良好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A dynamic markov regime-switching asymmetric GARCH model and its cumulative impulse response function
In this paper, we consider the Markov regime-switching GJR-GARCH(1,1) model to capture both the cumulative impulse response and the asymmetry of the dynamic behavior of financial market volatility in stationary and explosive states. The model can capture regime shifts in volatility between two regimes as well as the asymmetric response to negative and positive shocks. A Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to validate the main theory and find that the regime-switching GJR-GARCH model performs better than the standard GJR-GARCH model. Applications to Brazilian stock market data show that the proposed model performs well in terms of cumulative impulse response.
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