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引用次数: 4
摘要
本文针对太阳黑子时间序列和Mackey Glass混沌系统这两个时间序列预测问题,研究了神经可塑性对回声状态网络(echo state network, ESNs)和监督学习算法的学习性能的影响。我们实现了两种不同的有望提高预测性能的可塑性规则,即anti-Oja学习规则和结合读出连接离线和在线学习的Bienenstock-Cooper-Munro (BCM)学习规则。我们的实验结果表明,与在线学习相比,神经可塑性对离线学习的促进作用更为显著。
Modeling neural plasticity in echo state networks for time series prediction
In this paper, we investigate the influence of neural plasticity on the learning performance of echo state networks (ESNs) and supervised learning algorithms in training readout connections for two time series prediction problems including the sunspot time series and the Mackey Glass chaotic system. We implement two different plasticity rules that are expected to improve the prediction performance, namely, anti-Oja learning rule and the Bienenstock-Cooper-Munro (BCM) learning rule combined with both offline and online learning of the readout connections. Our experimental results have demonstrated that the neural plasticity can more significantly enhance the learning in offline learning than in online learning.