{"title":"在线教育数据预测和因果模型的变量构建","authors":"Stephen E. Fancsali","doi":"10.1145/2090116.2090123","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We consider the problem of predictive and causal modeling of data collected by courseware in online education settings, focusing on graphical causal models as a formalism for such modeling. We review results from a prior study, present a new pilot study, and suggest that novel methods of constructing variables for analysis may improve our ability to infer predictors and causes of learning outcomes in online education. Finally, several general problems for causal discovery from such data are surveyed along with potential solutions.","PeriodicalId":150927,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge","volume":"198200 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2011-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"21","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Variable construction for predictive and causal modeling of online education data\",\"authors\":\"Stephen E. Fancsali\",\"doi\":\"10.1145/2090116.2090123\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We consider the problem of predictive and causal modeling of data collected by courseware in online education settings, focusing on graphical causal models as a formalism for such modeling. We review results from a prior study, present a new pilot study, and suggest that novel methods of constructing variables for analysis may improve our ability to infer predictors and causes of learning outcomes in online education. Finally, several general problems for causal discovery from such data are surveyed along with potential solutions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":150927,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge\",\"volume\":\"198200 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-02-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"21\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1145/2090116.2090123\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2090116.2090123","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Variable construction for predictive and causal modeling of online education data
We consider the problem of predictive and causal modeling of data collected by courseware in online education settings, focusing on graphical causal models as a formalism for such modeling. We review results from a prior study, present a new pilot study, and suggest that novel methods of constructing variables for analysis may improve our ability to infer predictors and causes of learning outcomes in online education. Finally, several general problems for causal discovery from such data are surveyed along with potential solutions.