基于Gompertz函数的预测模型

Zheng Yan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

提出了一种基于Gompertz函数和顾客生命周期(CLC)的预测模型。首先提取并分析了内网(中国联通)移动用户与外网(中国移动)移动用户之间的通话行为,然后利用Gompertz函数拟合出CLC曲线。根据拟合曲线识别出CLC的不同周期。最后对外网移动用户数量进行了准确、动态的预测。实际数据的实验验证了该预测模型的有效性和准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction model based on Gompertz function
A novel prediction model based on Gompertz function and Customer Life Cycle (CLC) is presented in this paper. Firstly, the calling behavior between the inner-net (China Unicom) mobile customers and the outer-net (China Mobile) mobile customers are extracted and analyzed, then fitted a CLC curve by Gompertz function. Furthermore, the different period of CLC is identified according to the fitting curve. Finally the number of outer-net mobile customers is predicted accurately and dynamically. The experiments of real data illustrate the availability and accuracy of the proposed prediction model.
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