与浅层滑坡相关的降雨实时监测:基于两种降雨模式的SWING系统的开发和验证

H. Saito, Daichi Nakayama, T. Izumi, H. Matsuyama
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引用次数: 2

摘要

:正在研制日本强降雨条件下浅层滑坡灾害实时监测预报系统样机——土壤水分指数最大值归一化(SWING)系统。该系统基于与浅层滑坡启动相关的两种经验降雨模式:短时间、高强度(SH)和长时间、低强度(LL)类型。该系统使用日本气象厅提供的雷达/雨量计分析降水和土壤水分指数,将当前的降雨量分为SH和LL类型。通过对2010年7月九州南部、齐阜县瑶津镇和广岛市正原市主要降雨诱发浅层滑坡灾害的监测,对该系统进行了验证。结果表明,我们成功地监测和预测了该地区可能发生浅层滑坡的SH和LL型条件。核查工作也强调需要一些额外的发展。该系统将用于实时浅层滑坡预警,但应通过更多的案例研究对其进行修改和验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Real-time monitoring of rainfalls associated with shallow landslides : Development and verification of SWING system based on two rainfall patterns
: A proto type of real-time monitoring and predicting system for a shallow landslide haz-ard during heavy rainfall in Japan, the system with Soil Water Index Normalized by Greatest-value (SWING system), is being developed. The system is based on empirical two rainfall patterns associated with shallow landslide initiation: short-duration, high-intensity (SH) and long-duration, low-intensity (LL) types. The system classifies present rainfall into SH and LL types using Radar/Rain-gauge-Analyzed Precipitation and Soil Water Index provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency. We verified the system by monitoring the major rainfall-induced shallow landslide disasters of July 2010 in the southern part of Kyushu, Yaotsu town in Gifu pref., and Shobara city in Hiroshima pref. Results showed that we succeeded in monitoring and predicting SH and LL types as the conditions likely to initiate shallow landslide in the place. Verification also underscored the need for some ad-ditional development. The system will be useful for real-time shallow landslide warnings, which should be modified and verified using more case studies.
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