物理和过渡气候风险对欧洲公用事业的潜在影响研究

C. Cormack
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这篇工作论文中,我们详细描述了气候相关风险对欧洲公用事业的影响。我们考虑了转型风险和实体风险的影响,这些风险可能会在2020年至2050年期间影响公司。该方法利用了一个综合评估模型的长期模拟框架,该模型推动了公司在模拟范围内的投资选择。这种方法产生了对股票估值、债券价格、信用评级和违约概率的估计,可用于评估长期信贷风险或当前市场估值的潜在变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Study of the Potential Impact of Physical and Transition Climate Risks to European Utilities
In this working paper we provide a detailed descriptions of the impact to European Utilities on the impact of climate related risks.We include the impact of both transition and physical risks that could impact the companies over a period of time from 2020 to 2050. The approach utilises a long term simulation framework from an integrated assessment model that drives company investment choices over the simulation horizon. This approach gives rise to estimates of equity valuation, bond prices, credit ratings and default probabilities that can be used to assess long term credit exposures or potential shifts in current market valuation.
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