开放经济体中的金融危机与最后贷款

Staff Report Pub Date : 2017-10-24 DOI:10.21034/sr.557
Luigi Bocola, G. Lorenzoni
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引用次数: 19

摘要

我们研究的是浮动汇率的小型开放经济体中的金融恐慌。在我们的模型中,银行挤兑引发国内财富下降和货币贬值。当银行持有美元债务时,挤兑更有可能发生。美元债务是对国内储蓄者预防性动机的内生反应:美元储蓄提供了防范危机的保险;因此,当危机可能发生时,银行借入本币的成本相对较高,这就促使它们发行美元债券。总风险和储户之间的反馈?行为可以产生多重均衡,其中以金融美元化和银行挤兑可能性为特征的坏均衡。国内最后贷款人可以消除不良均衡,但干预措施必须在财政上可信。持有外汇储备可以对冲政府的财政状况,提高政府的信誉,从而提高金融稳定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Crises and Lending of Last Resort in Open Economies
We study financial panics in a small open economy with floating exchange rates. In our model, bank runs trigger a decline in domestic wealth and a currency depreciation. Runs are more likely when banks have dollar debt. Dollar debt emerges endogenously in response to the precautionary motive of domestic savers: dollar savings provide insurance against crises; so when crises are possible it becomes relatively more expensive for banks to borrow in local currency, which gives them an incentive to issue dollar debt. This feedback between aggregate risk and savers? behavior can generate multiple equilibria, with the bad equilibrium characterized by financial dollarization and the possibility of bank runs. A domestic lender of last resort can eliminate the bad equilibrium, but interventions need to be fiscally credible. Holding foreign currency reserves hedges the fiscal position of the government and enhances its credibility, thus improving financial stability.
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