基于效用最大化模型的家庭活动链分析

Wissam Qassim Al-Salih, D. Esztergár-Kiss
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大多数基于活动的交通规划模型依赖于对日常活动和活动链进行建模的个人决策过程。对个人决策方法的依赖可能部分是由于缺乏家庭内群体决策的建模方法。因此,本文对家庭成员之间的群体决策进行了研究。本文采用基于效用函数的混合多项logit模型,对家庭成员之间的活动分配和活动链进行了分析和估计。这项研究使用了2014年布达佩斯城市旅游调查。本文提出了家庭成员在日常活动中所追求的活动类型和活动链的模型。研究假设家庭成员在活动链中分配其活动类型和持续时间以获得较高的效用。此外,还考察了家庭和个人社会人口统计、旅行和活动变量对活动分配的影响。结果表明,(3.392 & 2.136)的活动目的是一个必不可少的因素,并积极影响活动类型或活动链的选择可能性。最后,确定了结果对旅行行为和交通规划的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis the Household Activity Chains Based on Utility-Maximizing Model
Most activity-based models of transport planning depend on an individual decision-making process modelling daily activity and the activity chains. The dependence on individual decision-making approaches may be partially due to the deficiency of modelling methodologies for group decision-making within the household. Therefore, in this paper, we present a study to analyse the group decision-making among the household members. This paper aims to analyse and estimate the activity allocation and the activity chains between the household members by using the mixed multinomial logit model based on the utility function. The study is using the 2014 Budapest city Travel Survey. This paper presents a model for the activity type and activity chains that household members pursue during the daily activity. The study assumes that the household members allocate their activity type and duration within the activity chains to get a high utility. Besides that, the effects of household and individual socio-demographics, travel and activity variables on the activity allocation are examined. According to the results that indicated that the activity purpose with (3.392 & 2.136) is an essential factor and positively affects the likelihood of choice among the activity types or activity chains. Finally, the implications of the results for travel behaviour and transportation planning are identified.
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